Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.019402 0.020830 0.022312 0.023966 0.025763 0.027657 0.029807
2026-01-25 0.017070 0.019135 0.021387 0.024030 0.027055 0.030418 0.034451
2026-02-01 0.015340 0.017747 0.020467 0.023782 0.027728 0.032295 0.038009
2026-02-08 0.013968 0.016569 0.019595 0.023395 0.028066 0.033653 0.040894
2026-02-15 0.012975 0.015723 0.019001 0.023224 0.028563 0.035136 0.043922
2026-02-22 0.012110 0.014951 0.018413 0.022977 0.028890 0.036360 0.046628
2026-03-01 0.011402 0.014316 0.017935 0.022807 0.029262 0.037613 0.049391
2026-03-08 0.010783 0.013745 0.017493 0.022634 0.029587 0.038784 0.052070
2026-03-15 0.010324 0.013352 0.017247 0.022687 0.030191 0.040329 0.055321
2026-03-22 0.009856 0.012915 0.016912 0.022588 0.030564 0.041552 0.058159
2026-03-29 0.009451 0.012540 0.016634 0.022542 0.030989 0.042848 0.061152
2026-04-05 0.009090 0.012204 0.016389 0.022519 0.031432 0.044175 0.064243
2026-04-12 0.008734 0.011871 0.016148 0.022513 0.031932 0.045659 0.067751
2026-04-19 0.008440 0.011612 0.016000 0.022634 0.032626 0.047472 0.071893
2026-04-26 0.008063 0.011216 0.015635 0.022412 0.032786 0.048475 0.074809
2026-05-03 0.007673 0.010784 0.015195 0.022052 0.032707 0.049091 0.077118
2026-05-10 0.007370 0.010463 0.014901 0.021893 0.032922 0.050166 0.080233
2026-05-17 0.007068 0.010130 0.014574 0.021662 0.033005 0.051022 0.083018
2026-05-24 0.006806 0.009844 0.014303 0.021503 0.033187 0.052038 0.086128
2026-05-31 0.006559 0.009572 0.014040 0.021341 0.033350 0.053022 0.089231
2026-06-07 0.006381 0.009395 0.013915 0.021391 0.033858 0.054602 0.093489
2026-06-14 0.006178 0.009174 0.013710 0.021299 0.034120 0.055770 0.097061
2026-06-21 0.005998 0.008981 0.013541 0.021255 0.034458 0.057079 0.100971